2013 NFL: MIA @ CLE Game Analysis

Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns: 

FINAL: 23-10 Miami

Passing:

Completion Percentage

Tannehill 52% / Weeden 49%

This should come as no real surprise. Both of these quarterbacks are average-poor talents and we get another glimpse of that from this game. Tannehill can do more for you simply because the Dolphins will throw the ball a lot this year; problem is he is not a great passer. Weeden struggled again and was generally awful. His numbers should improve a degree once Josh Gordon returns. Relying on either of these quarterbacks short or long-term in fantasy football is going to do nothing for you.

Rushing:

The problem with defensive and offensive coordinators is they mask behind the field of play and you tend to forget who is running your player’s into the ground. This is the case with Norv Turner, who now resides high up in a comfortable Skybox destroying the fantasy value of Trent Richardson. If that wasn’t enough of a concern, toss in head coach Rob Chudzinksi from Panthers fame – who was the genius who manufactured the worthless two-back system in Carolina.  Trent Richardson is a great talent, but his ceiling with the Browns brain trust is merely good. This Browns team is not that good – despite what the local media in Cleveland would have you believe. With these two coaches /coordinators entrusted to serve Richardson the rock, I would be more than nervous.

On the other side, we have the Dolphins. The Dolphins have yet to figure out that Daniel Thomas is an NFL bust. He is splitting carries with the far more talented Lamar Miller. Of course the biggest issue for the Dolphins is their offensive line woes. This will keep Dolphins running game in check most of the season. Head Coach Joe Philbin has also been on record stating the Dolphins will just throw it all game if the offensive line cannot run block. Joe, good luck with all that. I cannot wait to see this team attempt to win games consistently on the moxie of Tannehill and a below-average offensive line.

Receiving:

Miami Dolphins Targets:

Brian Hartline (15), Brandon Gibson (10), Charles Clay (6), Mike Wallace (5), Lamar Miller (1), Daniel Thomas (1)

I take back what I said about Hartline not being as big of a factor now that the team acquired Wallace. He will probably be just as good if not better, because Mike Wallace is more of a one-trick pony receiver. Brando Gibson should be a solid #5 offensive option for deep leagues as well. Put Charles Clay on the watch list, someone has to replace Keller and be productive; Clay has shown signs of that in the past. Little to no usage of the running back in the passing game, either. 

Cleveland Browns Targets:

Jordan Cameron (13), Davone Bess (10), Greg Little (10), Travis Benjamin (8), Trent Richardson (6), Chris Ogbannaya (3), Tori Gurley (2), Gary Barnidge (1)

Remember the Browns are without Josh Gordon so a few players here have inflated numbers, particularly Benjamin and Bess. A nice effort from Cameron – one of the good things Turner brings to the Browns is the usage of tight ends. Off to a good start here. A lot of targets for Richardson in the passing game, but again they should be feeding him the ball more on the ground instead of pretending they are an offensive juggernaut.

Defense:

Miami Dolphins Defense Vs Browns Offense

(56/44) 78% STR – Cleveland Home State Crew

6 Sacks / 3 Tackles For Loss / 10 Pass Deflections and 16 QB Hits

If the Browns continue this offensive game-plan, load up your lineup with any corners going against them. 16 QB hits and 6 sacks makes for a tasty match-up to exploit.

Line Backer (19/14): 

Phillip Wheeler (6/6), Danell Ellerbe (6/4), Koa Misi (5/3), Jelani Jenkins (2/1)

Wheeler is the Weak Side backer and Ellerbe the middle. Numbers are okay, but not great because the Browns abandoned the run so early.

Safety (11/9):

Reshad Jones (6/6), Chris Clemons (4/2), Jimmy Wilson (1/1)

Reshad Jones is one of the elite IDP safeties and he starts off with a decent performance.

Corner Back  (9/9):

Nolan Carroll (3/3), Brent Grimes (2/2), Don Jones (2/2), Dmitri Patterson (2/2), 

Despite the high amount of throws by Weeden, we get limited tackle production. That is because Weeden was throwing half his passes to the crowd, ground and other team. The corners did account for 5 pass deflections.

Defensive Line (13/9):

Cameron Wake (4/2), Randy Starks (3/2), Derrick Shelby (2/2), Paul Solilai (2/1), Dion Jordan (1/1), Jared Odrick (1/1)

Wake and Starks feasted off the Browns offensive line and pass only attack; accumulating 4 sacks total between them.

Cleveland Defense Vs Miami Dolphins Offense

(60/44)73% STR – Browns Home Stat Crew

4 Sacks / 8 Tackles For Loss / 6 Pass Deflections / 7 QB Hits 

As you can see, the Dolphins Offensive line woes make for a tasty matchup as well.

Line Backer (21/13):

Dqwell Jackson (9/6), Craig Robertson (5/4), Paul Kruger (4/2), Jabarl Sheard (2/0), Quentin Groves (1/1),

A nice start for Jackson in this one. Robertson looks to be a viable LB4 as well, which I predicted. 

Safety  (8/7):

TJ Ward (3/3), Tashaun Gipson (3/3), Johnson Bademosi (2/1),

Was expecting more from Ward this year, returning to an in the box type scheme. 

Corner Back (17/16)

Chris Owens (8/8), Buster Skrine (7/6), Leon McFadden (1/1), Joe Haden (1/1)

Dolphins avoided Haden like the plague. He was covering Wallace in this one. Owens and Skrine are the beneficiaries. This could be great news for both all season.

Defensive Line (11/5)

Desmond Bryant (3/2), John Hughes (3/1), Billy Winn (2/2), Phil Taylor (2/0), Ishmael Kitchen (1/0)

2 sacks for Desmond Bryant in this one. His sleeper campaign gets off to a good start.

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1 Comment

September 10, 2013 · 7:08 pm

One response to “2013 NFL: MIA @ CLE Game Analysis

  1. Mia screwed me big time. They did not give Lamar Miller the ball, and they decided to not throw it towards Joe Haden. Mia is now on my shit list.

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